Poll Shows Trump Leading Biden Among Independents

A newly released poll showed former President Donald Trump with a lead over President Joe Biden among independent voters. The new poll also corresponds with a spate of recent polls that showed Trump either ahead nationally or in important swing states.

The new Cygnal poll showed that Trump had a 6% lead among independents, who could be the deciding factor in next year’s election. The survey found that 44% of independents would back the former president and 38% would support Biden.

Furthermore, Biden is hurt when independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. is included in the poll.

Among all voters, Biden would lead Trump by 2% in a one-on-one fight. However, Biden’s lead was cut in half with Kennedy in the race. In this scenario, Biden would receive 40%, Trump would get 39% and Kennedy nabbed 12%.

In the three-way poll, Trump maintained his lead among independent voters. In that matchup, Trump would receive 36% of independents while Biden trailed with 30%. Kennedy would pick up 17%.

The Cygnal poll followed a number of other polls that showed Trump with leads, often significant ones, over Biden in key states. According to a recent New York Times/Siena poll, Trump would lead Biden in five such states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada.

The poll found Biden with a narrow lead only in Michigan.

Similarly, recent Bloomberg/Consult and Emerson polls found similar results.

Trump currently leads the former president in a number of national polls. The current RealClearPolitics polling average found the former president with slightly more than a 1% over Biden.

While Trump’s ratings have mostly improved over the last month, Biden’s have taken a considerable decline. In the RealClearPolitics average, Trump leads in four of the five most recent polls.

In the widest lead of recent polling, a CNN survey found Trump leading the race by four points. That poll had Trump receive 49% support over Biden’s 45%.

Biden has also suffered from poor, and declining, approval ratings of late.